WBC Quarterfinal Preview: Can the USA stop Venezuela’s perfect run?

United States' Mookie Betts celebrates with teammates after scoring against Colombia on Mike Trout's single during the third inning of a World Baseball Classic game in Phoenix, Wednesday, March 15, 2023. (Godofredo A. Vásquez/AP)

After opening Pool D action with an upset win over the Dominican Republic, Venezuela ran through the rest of its schedule to finish undefeated through four games.

Its reward for a perfect run to open the tournament?

A quarter-final matchup with a star-studded USA team that finished second in Pool C with a 3-1 record. Watch the game on SN ONE and SN NOW at 7 p.m. ET / 4 p.m. PT.

As the World Baseball Classic moves into its win-or-go-home rounds, games cannot be taken for granted, as only powerhouse teams remain with established talent lining each roster.

Contrary to expectations, the Americans did not dominate. However, they still come into the quarterfinals winners of two straight after dropping their highly anticipated game with Mexico. 

As the USA tries to repeat as WBC champions, a Venezuelan team that has allowed the fewest runs in the tournament and gotten timely hitting stands in its way.

Projected Pitching Matchup

After getting the start and outdueling reigning NL Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara in Venezuela’s opening win over the Dominicans, Martín Pérez will be tasked with shutting down another MLB All-Star-level lineup on Saturday. 

The Texas Rangers’ lefty threw 3.1 innings, allowing just three hits and one run, setting the table for Venezuela’s win. 

The 31-year-old is coming off the best MLB season of his career, in which he posted a 2.89 ERA and was named to his first All-Star team. 

Getting the ball on the other side for the USA will be Chicago White Sox pitcher Lance Lynn. 

Lynn is coming off a dominating outing of his own, allowing only three Canadian baserunners in five innings of work while striking out six.

Of course, starting pitching will be important for both sides, especially with the WBC pitch-count limits expanding from 65 to 80 for the quarterfinals. But the bullpens could decide the outcome of the game, and the advantage may belong to Venezuela.

Despite both teams featuring a strong group of relievers, the USA bullpen was slightly worse in pool play, allowing nine runs in 19.1 innings in its opening four games, while Venezuela’s relievers held their Pool D opponents to just five runs in 22 innings.

Potential Lineups

Venezuela

2B Jose Altuve

1B Luis Arraez

CF Ronald Acuña Jr.

C Salvador Perez

RF Anthony Santander

DH Miguel Cabrera

SS Andrés Giménez

3B Eugenio Suarez

LF David Peralta

USA

RF Mookie Betts

CF Mike Trout

1B Paul Goldschmidt

3B Nolan Arenado

DH Pete Alonso

LF Kyle Tucker

2B Tim Anderson

C J.T. Realmuto

SS Trea Turner

Key Players to Watch

For the Venezuelans, one player to continue to watch will be Baltimore Orioles outfielder Anthony Santander. The 28-year-old has been one of the hottest hitters in the World Baseball Classic, slashing .462/.533/1.154 with two home runs and five RBI.

In his MLB career against Lynn, Santander is 1-for-5, with that one hit being a home run, so he could very well be in line to continue his success in Miami.

[brightcove videoID=6322454633112 playerID=JCdte3tMv height=360 width=640]

On the USA side, Los Angeles Dodgers star Mookie Betts has struggled atop the order, collecting only four singles in 17 at-bats. 

However, Betts holds a pretty impressive track record against Pérez, having gone 6-for-14 in his career against the southpaw, with two doubles and a home run. 

The matchup of the Venezuela bullpen and the Americans lineup later in the game will be a storyline to watch as well. 

Outside of its 12-run explosion against Canada, the U.S. lineup has slightly underwhelmed – compared to expectations – piecing together 14 runs in its other three games. And with Venezuela holding relief options such as Jose Alvarado, Carlos Hernández and Luis Garcia, late-game runs might be tough to come by on Saturday night.

What’s Next?

The winner moves on to the semifinals, where Cuba is waiting after knocking off Australia, 4-3.

Cuba won Pool A after going 2-2 and winning the five-way tiebreaker.

It started Yariel Rodriguez in its win over Australia and might send 34-year-old righty Elian Leyva to the mound for the semifinals. Leyva started one game in pool play and held Chinese Taipei scoreless through 2.1 innings of work, with four strikeouts.

The semifinal will be played on Sunday night in front of what promises to be an electric crowd in Miami. 

When submitting content, please abide by our submission guidelines, and avoid posting profanity, personal attacks or harassment. Should you violate our submissions guidelines, we reserve the right to remove your comments and block your account. Sportsnet reserves the right to close a story’s comment section at any time.