Blue Jays’ odds to make the playoffs better than 97 per cent

Toronto Blue Jays' Bo Bichette (11) hits an RBI double against the Kansas City Royals during sixth inning American League MLB baseball action. (Nathan Denette/THE CANADIAN PRESS)

While it looked like the Toronto Blue Jays‘ bid for a playoff spot would go down to game No. 162, it is far more likely to be wrapped up before that after last week’s results.

FanGraphs has the Blue Jays’ wild-card odds at 97.8 per cent, while Baseball Reference has the odds at 97.9 per cent.

The Blue Jays are currently second in the wild-card race and they can’t catch the first-place Tampa Bay Rays. Toronto is two games ahead of the Houston Astros and 2.5 up on the Seattle Mariners heading into Monday’s action.

If the Blue Jays go 3-3 in their final six games (against the New York Yankees and Rays at Rogers Centre), they’re guaranteed a playoff spot.

But even something worse could be enough.

That’s because the Mariners face the Astros in a three-game series starting Monday (9:30 p.m. ET / 6:30 p.m. PT, Sportsnet One, Sportsnet+).

Also, the Mariners meet the Texas Rangers, who lead the AL West by 2.5 games on Houston, in a four-game series to wrap up the season. The Rangers start a three-game series against the Los Angeles Angels on Monday (9:30 p.m. ET / 6:30 p.m. PT, Sportsnet+).

The combined seven losses in head-to-head games involving the Mariners, Astros and Rangers makes the Blue Jays’ road much easier.

The Blue Jays return to action on Tuesday, when they start a three-game series with the Yankees at Rogers Centre (7:07 p.m. ET / 4:07 p.m. PT, Sportsnet, Sportsnet+).

The earliest the Blue Jays can clinch a playoff spot is Wednesday. The scenario for that requires the Blue Jays to win the first two games against the Yankees and for the Astros-Mariners series to end in a sweep for either team.

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