TORONTO – Stay the course. Stick to the plan.
We’re painfully close. Closer than it appears.
Believe us because we believe us.
In the wake of their sixth consecutive opening-round postseason defeat, the Toronto Maple Leafs will septuple down on the Shanaplan, the blueprint.
They have seen enough progress within this sad string of playoff failures to not only trust in their strategy but trust harder. Six years of harsh reality be damned.
“Certainly, as we look forward to next year, there's always going to be new faces. That being said, we will not be making changes just simply for the sake of saying that we made changes,” said Brendan Shanahan, entering the eighth year of his presidency and still hunting Round 2.
“In spite of the fact that we were not able to finish Tampa off in Game 6 and Game 7, I saw a different team and a different approach.”
There is no whiff that the off-ice approach, at least publicly, will differ.
History will dictate whether Leaf Nation is rewarded for this regime’s loyalty and belief or foiled by stubbornness and hubris — and left with a diminished pool of picks and prospects.
During the club’s locker cleanout Tuesday, Shanahan gave Dubas and head coach Sheldon Keefe a firm endorsement for 2022-23.
Dubas not only backed Keefe but said the idea of dialing up experienced free agents Barry Trotz and Peter DeBoer hadn’t crossed his mind.
“I only think Sheldon is going to continue to get better,” Dubas said. “And I think when we speak of Sheldon in 10, 15 years from now, it'll be in the same way that you [speak about] those two great coaches. And I think that'll be played out here in Toronto.”
On the surface, no one is lighting a fire under anyone.
Maybe that’s just smart PR.
What would be troubling, though, is this: Maybe it’s complacency.
The air of disappointment, the vows to dig deeper, the sombre tones as the Leafs packed their belongings and participation ribbons for summer… it all felt so familiar. Just part of the cycle.
“As much as winning can bring people together,” Shanahan said, “learning how to deal with the heartbreak and devastation of falling short, depending on what kind of relationship you have, can bring you closer as well.”
What if, for these regular-season superstars, Round 2 has become the new Stanley Cup, the way RFA has become the new UFA?
“I don’t think playing in any passionate hockey market will allow for comfort to seep into a group,” Shanahan defended.
Thing is, plenty of supporters seem content with giving this another go, essentially, as is. Run it back. Hope the Maple Leafs are 100 per cent healthy again, that their stars produce again, that they draw an easier opponent, and that next time they will have learned their lesson.
But for real this time.
I threw up a Twitter poll Monday to gauge whom the fans would like to see pay for another extended golf season, and 66.9 per cent of 27,200 voters are happy to run this core back with minor changes on the fringes.
While his actions this summer will speak louder, Dubas says he is still content with allocating 58.2 per cent of his cap space to four forwards (Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, John Tavares, William Nylander) and an offensively gifted defenceman (Morgan Rielly).
Even after losing multiple do-or-die games to organizations that invested more in goaltending, pure defencemen, and bottom-six depth.
“The contracts to those players that you're referencing, I think they're providing us great value in the way that they're producing, in the way that they continue to evolve as they go through their contract. So, I don't regret those at all,” said Dubas, ready to go money-balling for 2023’s David Kämpf and Michael Bunting.
“It's the reality in the league right now that you're probably not going to be able to spend as much as you want on those depth pieces. And you're really going to have to do a great job of finding value, whether that's someone that's coming off injury, someone that hasn't been given great opportunity, [or] someone coming off a bad year that you see something in.”
In a game of goal-line reviews and phantom high-sticks, the Maple Leafs believe they are simply “one shot away,” as captain John Tavares put it.
No need for major surgery.
Just a couple more bargain-bin gems, a couple extra hours in the gym. A few less careless penalties, a few more more converted power-plays.
“We’re slowly understanding the way we need to play,” William Nylander said.
“There’s significant buy-in here, which I don’t think you get everywhere.” Jason Spezza added. “We need more just — that stubbornness of not accepting to lose a game. It’s in the room. It definitely is in the room. These guys, they’re learning how hard it is.”
So are Shanahan and Dubas, who ironically may have only been saved by the eye test.
The Leafs lost but looked better doing so.
OK. What's next?
The brass will do its best to sell steady veteran defenceman Mark Giordano on the Spezza salary program. They’ll explore a Jack Campbell extension but also alternatives in the goalie market. The fringe forwards will be juggled and a few let loose.
But to hear the decision-makers tell it, mostly what the Maple Leafs need is a seventh playoff shot.
That should do the trick.
And they’ve done a shrewd enough of a sell job to get one.