It’s a rematch almost 11 years in the making and a meeting between two of the most popular, skilled and entertaining fighters in the sport of mixed martial arts.
UFC 326 is headlined by former featherweight champion Max Holloway and former lightweight champ Charles Oliveira competing for the organization’s infamous and symbolic “BMF” championship.
It’s the fifth BMF Title bout in UFC history. It’s Holloway’s third and Oliveira’s first. Holloway won the belt at UFC 300 in 2024 when he knocked out Justin Gaethje in dramatic, last-second fashion. He defended the belt at UFC 318 in 2025 when he won a five-round decision over Dustin Poirier.
The winner of Saturday’s main event at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas will also remain in lightweight title contention. Both Holloway and Oliveira have been finished by reigning 155-pound titleholder Ilia Topuria in recent history – Holloway in a 145-pound title fight in October 2024 and Oliveira last summer in their vacant lightweight title bout.
UFC 326 has 13 fights scheduled, including a co-main event between middleweight contenders Caio Borralho and Reinier de Ridder.
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Below is UFC 326’s projected bout order (subject to change) plus full predictions from our panel who got back on track last week with a Cage Locks Parlay win at UFC Mexico.
MAIN CARD
-- Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira
-- Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder
-- Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
-- Drew Dober vs. Michael Johnson
-- Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira
PRELIMINARY CARD
-- Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long
-- Donte Johnson vs. Cody Brundage
-- Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes
-- Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
-- Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Santos Aguilar
-- Rafael Tobias vs. Diyar Nurgozhay
-- Jeong-yeong Lee vs. Gaston Bolanos
-- Luke Fernandez vs. Rodolfo Bellato
Ahead of each UFC event in 2026, UFC reporter Aaron Bronsteter (@aaronbronsteter), producer Dan Fernandes (@DanFernandes__) and writer/editor Mike Johnston (@MikeyJ_MMA) will peruse the odds and make four betting predictions using fantasy dollars: one best bet, one favourite, one underdog and one dart throw wager. REMINDER: Sportsnet is committed to promoting and educating audiences about the importance of betting responsibly. Sources for responsible gambling can be found HERE.
Watch UFC 326 on Sportsnet+
Fan favourites and former champions Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira meet in a rematch with the BMF Title on the line. Watch UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7 with prelim coverage beginning 7 p.m. ET / 4 p.m. PT, and pay-per-view main card starting at 9 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. PT.
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AARON'S PICKS
Cage Lock: Tobias vs. Nurgozhay ends inside the distance -400
Favourite: Rafael Tobias -181
Underdog: Rob Font +190
Dart Throw: Cody Brundage +600
Tobias and Nurgozhay both have strong finishing instincts with few decisions between them. I feel that Tobias has many advantages in this fight and will leave with his hand raised. … Font is a frustrating opponent and we have seen Rosas lose his confidence when he gets frustrated. It is possible that he has grown out of that, but I think his winning conditions are takedown dependent and Font will know that and do his best to mitigate it. … The dart is certainly a contrarian pick, but Johnson showed in his last fight that he is still quite green. Brundage has had success against these sorts of fighters and I think that he is live if this fight gets out of the first round.
DAN'S PICKS
Cage Lock: Donte Johnson -900
Favourite: Max Holloway -205
Underdog: Brunno Ferreira +160
Dart Throw: Borralho vs. de Ridder ends in submission +500
The moneyline on Donte Johnson just keeps growing leaps and bounds. Wouldn’t be surprised if it gets to -1000 by the time the fight starts. I’m just going with the flow here on this week’s lock and ignoring Donte’s lack of big fight experience. … Hard to bet against Holloway here. Topuria result aside, he seems to be levelling up with each fight and isn’t showing any signs of slowing down at this stage in his career. Oliveira, on the other hand, has looked human in recent fights and while the submission threat is always lurking, I just don’t see it playing out that way. … Brunno Ferreira has knocked out Robcop before. I’m not saying he does it again, but it’s not impossible to think he can’t get his hand raised on Saturday night. Rodrigues has looked great recently, but if Ferreira has a smooth weigh cut, I would consider ‘Hulk’ the favourite here. … Caio Borralho and RDR both pose sneaky submission threats in this one. On paper this seems like a striker’s delight but as the bout wears on and fatigue starts to creep in, both of these athletes have the potential to snatch a limb or exposed neck and say goodnight Irene here.
MIKE'S PICKS
Cage Lock: Sumudaerji to win outright -238
Favourite: Michael Johnson -120
Underdog: Cody Garbrandt +140
Dart Throw: Holloway by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 3 +1000
Some very fun style matchups this weekend. Holloway should have a clear advantage on the feet in the main event, and I see him eventually hurting then swarming Oliveira with a flurry of punches in one of the middle rounds. … The underdogs could be barking frequently this card but Sumudaerji is one of the faves I like. He has a significant height and reach advantage and strong takedown defence. Keeping the fight standing is his best path to victory and I think he’ll be able to do it. … I also think Garbrandt gets a big win and I give my almost-namesake a slight edge over Dober in the bout that could end up stealing the show. That one and Rodrigues vs. Ferreira 2 should both be absolutely bonkers for however long they last.
CAGE LOCKS PARLAY
Three legs: Tobias vs. Nurgozhay doesn’t go distance + D. Johnson + Sumudaerji
Parlay odds: -103 (to win: $97.25)
2026 STANDINGS AFTER 5 EVENTS
CAGE LOCKS PARLAY
2026 record: 2-3 (W1)
2026 winnings: -$135.56 (on $100 bets)
AARON'S RECORDS/TOTALS (12-8, +9.26 units)
Cage Lock: 3-2 (-$131.61)
Favourite: 4-1 (+$128.19)
Underdog: 3-2 (+$280)
Dart throw: 2-3 (+$650)
DAN'S RECORDS/TOTALS (10-10, +1.34 units)
Cage Lock: 4-1 (-$40.33)
Favourite: 3-2 (-$75.03)
Underdog: 2-3 ($0)
Dart throw: 1-4 (+$250)
MIKE'S RECORDS/TOTALS (7-13, -11.52 units)
Cage Lock: 4-1 (-$28.44)
Favourite: 2-3 (-$153.08)
Underdog: 0-5 (-$500)
Dart throw: 0-5 (-$500)
Cage Lock: The pick deemed to be the wager most likely to win regardless of what the odds look like. The Cage Locks parlay will combine Aaron’s, Dan’s and Mike’s respective best bet for each event.
Favourite: A fighter with winning odds shorter than -300 but not longer than -110. On chalkier cards with a dearth of available moneyline favourites that meet those criteria, prop bets are allowed to be selected.
Underdog: Any fighter with longer odds than their opponent’s.
Dart Throw: Any prop bet or moneyline wager with odds of +400 or longer.
(Betting odds above are via BetMGM, submitted at various times throughout week, and subject to change prior to the fights)
